Support for Australia’s Right-Wing One Nation Party Surges in Shock New Poll
Foreign Affairs Bureau
– January 20, 2026
3 min read
Australia’s populist One Nation party has overtaken the country’s main centre-right opposition for the first time.
This is according to a new poll that points to a growing fragmentation of the country’s conservative vote.
The survey, published in a national newspaper, The Australian, yesterday, shows One Nation on 22%, up from 15% in a previous poll, and ahead of the centre-right Liberal-National Coalition on a record low 21%. Support for Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s governing Australian Labor Party slipped to 32%. The poll did not publish a margin of error.
The result follows last month’s terrorist attack on a Hanukkah celebration at Sydney’s Bondi Beach, which intensified criticism of the government’s handling of antisemitism. It has also coincided with a renewed backlash against immigration, an issue on which One Nation and its leader Pauline Hanson have campaigned for decades.
The Australian Parliament returned for an emergency sitting this week to debate new gun legislation after the Bondi attack, while the government dropped plans for tougher hate speech laws following objections from the Liberal-National Coalition and the Greens over free speech concerns.
One Nation’s rise mirrors trends seen in other developed democracies, where populist right-wing parties have gained ground as voters drift away from traditional governing blocs.
The poll, conducted by a polling company called Newspoll, also found majorities of voters dissatisfied with both Albanese and leader of the opposition Sussan Ley.
In the last Australian election, held last year, One Nation won 6.4% of the vote. The only time it won a bigger share of the vote was in 1998, the first election in which it participated, when it won 8.4%.