Mbeki Wants Ramaphosa Out

Thabo Mbeki says Cyril Ramaphosa should resign after the ANC's worst-ever election result. Marius Roodt and Gabriel Makin discuss Ramaphosa's uncertain future, the ANC's coalition choices, and whether the party could survive a spell in opposition.

13 min

Thabo Mbeki says Cyril Ramaphosa should resign following the ANC's worst election result since 1994. Mbeki said that after "a major disaster like that, the leaders resign; they take responsibility".

Marius Roodt and Gabriel Makin discuss why Ramaphosa has, in a way, already gone, and why the harder question is what the ANC does next.

Marius points out that the ANC won only 40% in the national election, meaning that if Ramaphosa resigns, the party's candidate is not guaranteed of winning the parliamentary vote to elect a new president.

Marius and Gabriel also discuss the ANC's choices. A deal with the DA would cover 158 of South Africa's 213 councils, representing almost 80% of the country's population. However, if the principle of proportionality is followed, the DA would take the mayoralties in Johannesburg, Tshwane, Ekurhuleni and Nelson Mandela Bay.

A deal with ActionSA, the EFF and the MKP would allow the ANC to retain Johannesburg and Ekurhuleni, but would reward the parties that have taken votes from it.

Another option is for the ANC to go into opposition. Marius points out that parties like the ANC, which have been in power for a long time, may struggle to survive a spell in opposition.

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