Frans Cronje explains what regime change away from the ANC to the DA would require. Using the example of Helen Zille in Johannesburg Frans points out that while 65% of voters in the city say they support Zille’s candidacy for the mayoralty, only 39% of Jo'burg voters say they will vote for her party, the DA. He explains that the answer to this apparent contradiction lies in understanding what it takes for regimes to change and that this is always a two-step process. South Africa has passed largely through the first step of that process, but not the second. Frans explains what needs to happen for South Africa to pass through the second step - but that this may never happen.