In this clip from Talking Sense the panel discusses the 30 June illegal immigrants “deadline” set by organisations such as March and March, and the fear that it could trigger a new wave of violence.

Frans Cronje explains why the risks are real. Reports suggest tens of thousands of foreign nationals have gone into hiding, while social media incitement and local intimidation have raised fears of renewed xenophobic violence. The discussion compares the current moment with South Africa’s previous waves of unrest in 2008, 2015, and 2021, when separate incidents escalated into broader violence.

The panel unpacks the warning signs, including rising living costs, organised incitement, and winter conditions, while arguing that this time may be different because the state appears better prepared. The conversation also looks at the role of private security, the cancellation of police leave, the possible use of the army, and the wider damage South Africa could suffer across Africa if foreign nationals are attacked.